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BCIS facilities management forecast

Published: 16/10/2023

BCIS produces five-year construction industry forecasts, covering projected costs and output, and examining the latest construction market trends.  

The quarterly BCIS maintenance, cleaning and energy briefing is a building maintenance market report. It presents our view of construction repair and maintenance output, and private and public sector building maintenance, cleaning and energy costs, against the backdrop of the wider economic background.  

The full briefing is available to subscribers of the BCIS Building Running Costs Online service. 

BCIS maintenance, cleaning and energy forecast 

Maintenance costs, as measured by the BCIS Private Sector Maintenance Cost Index, are set to rise by nearly 19% in the next five years, according to the latest quarterly forecast for the facilities management sector from the Building Cost Information Service. 

Current economic constraints mean that revenue expenditure in both the public and private sector will be under attack, and properly constructed budgets are required to maintain the country’s building stock. The need to reduce the carbon emissions of buildings may see a shift from revenue to capital expenditure as backlog maintenance is carried out in refurbishment schemes. 

By 2Q2028, construction repair and maintenance annual output is expected to grow by 8.5%. BCIS anticipates that the growth will be negative for the first two years (-1.4% in 2023 and -0.4% in 2024) but expects low single-digit growth thereafter for the remaining forecast period. 

In the same period, cleaning costs are forecast to increase by 20%, up 5.7% in the year 2Q2023 to 2Q2024, and by around 3% per annum thereafter. 

Although energy prices remain variable, BCIS expects costs to decline by more than 43% over the next five years. In the year to 2Q2023, they rose by 23.3% but, as the markets stabilise, BCIS expects costs to cool and to fall from 2025 onwards. 

Source: BCIS

Note – Output is full year on full year, costs are changed from 2Q to 2Q of the previous year

BCIS Chief Data Officer Karl Horton said: ‘A positive outcome of the recent media inquest into the use of Reinforced Aerated Autoclaved Concrete (RAAC) in schools and other public buildings has been a spotlight on the need for proper maintenance of the country’s building stock. 

‘Hopefully facilities managers will find it easier to defend properly constructed maintenance budgets. Ultimately, they are working to keep buildings operational and their occupants safe.’ 

The full details of the forecast are available in the BCIS Building Running Costs Online service. 

To keep up to date with the latest industry news and insights from BCIS, register for our newsletter here. 


Quarterly updates to forecasts are published for maintenance, cleaning and energy, building, and infrastructure, while an annual update is published for the economic significance of maintenance. Non-subscribers can access the previous year’s economic significance of maintenance report to find out more about its coverage.  

Latest building forecast  

Latest infrastructure forecast  

2022 economic significance of maintenance report 

Building Running Costs Online

The full BCIS Facilities Management Quarterly briefing: Maintenance, cleaning and energy is published in the Briefing section, as part of BCIS Building Running Costs online

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